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Consilient introspection

A lawyer says: "All lawyers are liars". This sentence is false. The preceding statements are probably true.

• Scientific method
  • Scientific rigor:
    • clearly defined terminology [check]
    • quantifiability [working on it]
    • highly controlled experimental conditions [fail]
    • reproducibility [fail]
    • predictability and testability [colossal fail]
  • Error functions
  • Randomness
  • Probability: a measure of sets in an abstract space of events
    • Bayesian probability
      • Cox's theorem
  • Experimental design
  • Correlation does not imply causation (risk factor - "something that is positively correlated")
• Social construction of diagnostic criteria

  Thou shalt not answer questionnaires
  Or quizzes upon World-Affairs,
    Nor with compliance
  Take any test. Thou shalt not sit
  With statisticians nor commit
    A social science. W.H. Auden, "Under Which Lyre"

  • object/structure/nature/simplicity vs. subject/process/culture/complexity
  • Construction of violence dynamics
• Quantifying means and ends
  • Quantitative and Qualitative methods
  • Univariate and Bivariate data
  • The reasoning of a blind man in a dark room looking for a black cat which isn't there: x³ - 15x - 4 = 0
  • Statistics - measuring, controlling, and communicating uncertainty
    • Coefficient of correllation and regression to the mean
    • Collinearity and Orthoganality
    • Regressors and postestimation computation of probabilities
    • Predictor and Outcome variables
      • Statistical interaction
    • Nominal and Ordinal Outcomes
    • Fuzzy set analysis
    • Random Forests, Random Survival Forests
      • Feature vector, Feature space, Feature construction, extraction, selection
    • Classifier combination
      • majority vote weighted method
      • Fuzzy Random Forests
    • Corporate book making: Actuarial "science"
      • Actuarial Risk Assessment Instruments (ARAIs)
  • Problemization of an individual or group: political, theoretical, empirical

    • Protection, therefore, against the tyranny of the majistrate is not enough; there needs protection also against the tyranny of the prevailing opinion and feeling; against the tendency of society to impose, by other means than civil penalties, its own ideas. Mill, On Liberty

    • The Eupsychian Network
• Epistemic grounds for content-independent coordination, consent, procedural fairness, and self-governance
• How can you be sure that you have a personality?
  • Pharmaceutical:
  • Pathological:
• What if I have recourse to those who say, 'What now if the sky were to fall?'
  • Ciceronian paradox of equity
    • Nam in medio stat vertus, says the King (For virtue lies in the middle)
    • The truth lies somewhere in the middle, say little men embracing tyranny while playing at being King
  • Political morality
  • Hart
  • Dworkin
  • Binding legal obligation
• Applied science
  • Machine learning and Artificial Intelligence
    • See above :-)
    • Back-propagation networks
    • Neuro-Fuzzy and Soft Computing
    • Genetic algorithms
  • Control Systems Engineering

Further reading

Material referenced in these pages or suggested.

• Fisher, R. A. 1956. Statistical Methods and Scientific Inference. Edinburgh: Oliver and Boyd.
• Tukey, J. W. 1984. The Collected Works of John W. Tukey. Edited by W. S. Cleveland. Belmont, CA: Wadsworth Advanced Books.
• Place holder.